Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Adley Rutschman pops out to second baseman Romy Gonzalez.
Win probability
Orioles0%
BOS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 0 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Triston Casas scores. Masataka Yoshida scores. (inning 7) — -31% Red Sox
8Rafael Devers homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field. Tyler O'Neill scores.5–1
7Jarren Duran singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Triston Casas scores. Masataka Yoshida scores.3–1
6Gunnar Henderson homers (32) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
6Tyler O'Neill singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
