Astros at Orioles
Last play · Jake Meyers grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
Win probability
Orioles100%
HOU 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 0 BAL
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Orioles favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Holliday doubles (2) on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Gunnar Henderson scores. Eloy Jiménez scores. Colton Cowser scores. (inning 6) — +51% Orioles
6Jackson Holliday doubles (2) on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Gunnar Henderson scores. Eloy Jiménez scores. Colton Cowser scores.2–3
6Jeremy Peña homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Jose Altuve homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
