Astros at Orioles
Last play · Alex Bregman flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
Win probability
Orioles100%
HOU 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 2 BAL
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Orioles favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander hits a grand slam (38) to right center field. Colton Cowser scores. Adley Rutschman scores. Gunnar Henderson scores. (inning 8) — +83% Orioles
8Ramón Urías triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Austin Slater scores.5–7
8Anthony Santander hits a grand slam (38) to right center field. Colton Cowser scores. Adley Rutschman scores. Gunnar Henderson scores.5–6
6Jeremy Peña homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.5–2
3Colton Cowser homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.4–2
3Jake Meyers singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Jeremy Peña scores.4–1
3Jeremy Peña doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Yainer Diaz scores.3–1
3Jose Altuve homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Zach Dezenzo scores.2–1
2Ramón Urías reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Jeremy Peña. Anthony Santander scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Jeremy Peña.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
