Astros at Orioles
Last play · Eloy Jiménez grounds into a double play, shortstop Jeremy Peña to second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Zach Dezenzo. Gunnar Henderson out at 2nd. Eloy Jiménez out at 1st.
Win probability
Orioles0%
HOU 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 3 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Orioles favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Urías homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Eloy Jiménez scores. Emmanuel Rivera scores. (inning 5) — +42% Orioles
8Jake Meyers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. Ben Gamel scores. Zach Dezenzo to 3rd.6–3
7Yainer Diaz homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3
7Alex Bregman homers (21) on a fly ball to left field.4–3
5Ramón Urías homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Eloy Jiménez scores. Emmanuel Rivera scores.3–3
4Zach Dezenzo doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Austin Slater. Victor Caratini scores. Ben Gamel scores.3–0
4Victor Caratini singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Jeremy Peña scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
