Giants at Red Sox
Last play · Ceddanne Rafaela lines out to right fielder Austin Slater.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
SF 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Thairo Estrada singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Patrick Bailey scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd. (inning 7) — -19% Giants
7Nick Ahmed out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Matt Chapman scores.3–1
7Thairo Estrada singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Patrick Bailey scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.2–1
3Tyler O'Neill doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Michael Conforto. Rafael Devers scores.1–1
3Mike Yastrzemski homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








