Nationals at Red Sox
Last play · Nationals challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jacob Young caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Connor Wong to shortstop Ceddanne Rafaela.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
WSH 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 3 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Red Sox favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela hits a ground-rule double (8) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Garrett Cooper scores. Vaughn Grissom scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd. (inning 2) — +20% Red Sox
4Eddie Rosario homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Nick Senzel scores.2–3
2Romy Gonzalez called out on strikes.0–3
2Ceddanne Rafaela hits a ground-rule double (8) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Garrett Cooper scores. Vaughn Grissom scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








