Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Romy Gonzalez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TB 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 4 – 3 BOS
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler O'Neill homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Wilyer Abreu scores. Rafael Devers scores. (inning 1) — +33% Red Sox
8Amed Rosario doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Josh Lowe scores. Austin Shenton to 3rd.5–3
4Jose Siri out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. José Caballero scores.4–3
1Tyler O'Neill homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Wilyer Abreu scores. Rafael Devers scores.3–3
1Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Amed Rosario scores.3–0
1Amed Rosario triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu, deflected by center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Yandy Díaz scores. Harold Ramírez scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








