Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Yandy Díaz.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TB 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. José Caballero scores. Jose Siri scores. (inning 6) — -29% Rays
6Rafael Devers homers (5) on a line drive to center field.4–3
6Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. José Caballero scores. Jose Siri scores.4–2
6Jose Siri singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Richie Palacios scores. José Caballero to 2nd.2–2
4Wilyer Abreu homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
4Richie Palacios reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Garrett Cooper. Jonathan Aranda scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd. Richie Palacios to 2nd.1–1
1Connor Wong out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jose Siri. Jarren Duran scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








