Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Romy Gonzalez grounds out, pitcher Erasmo Ramírez to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TB 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 5 – 4 BOS
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes singles on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Randy Arozarena scores. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd. (inning 9) — -34% Rays
9Richie Palacios out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jarren Duran. Jonathan Aranda scores.7–5
9Isaac Paredes singles on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Randy Arozarena scores. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd.6–5
6Jarren Duran homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.5–5
5Garrett Cooper doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Rob Refsnyder scores. Rafael Devers scores.5–4
5Dominic Smith grounds out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Jarren Duran scores. Rob Refsnyder to 3rd. Rafael Devers to 2nd.5–2
4Yandy Díaz grounds out, shortstop Ceddanne Rafaela to first baseman Dominic Smith. Ben Rortvedt scores.5–1
3Josh Lowe homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Siri scores.3–1
2Rafael Devers homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
