Brewers at Red Sox
Last play · Blake Perkins bunt grounds out softly, pitcher Kenley Jansen to first baseman Dominic Smith.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIL 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Red Sox favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to left fielder Christian Yelich. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. (inning 8) — +29% Red Sox
8Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to left fielder Christian Yelich. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.1–2
5William Contreras singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Oliver Dunn scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.1–1
4Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Sal Frelick. Wilyer Abreu scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
