Brewers at Red Sox
Last play · Jarren Duran grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
MIL 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 6 – 1 BOS
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Red Sox favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Blake Perkins scores. (inning 3) — -21% Brewers
9Joey Ortiz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Christian Yelich scores. Willy Adames to 3rd. Jake Bauers to 2nd.7–2
6Dominic Smith homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.6–2
5Willy Adames doubles (14) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich scores.6–1
5Christian Yelich doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Blake Perkins scores. William Contreras to 3rd.4–1
4David Hamilton doubles (4) on a ground ball to shortstop Willy Adames. Dominic Smith scores. Vaughn Grissom to 3rd.3–1
3William Contreras homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Blake Perkins scores.3–0
3Brice Turang out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jackson Chourio scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
