Tigers at Red Sox
Last play · Rafael Devers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
DET 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 0 BOS
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 50.4% · hold 15.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Red Sox favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Akil Baddoo homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 5) — -16% Tigers
8Gio Urshela homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.5–0
8Riley Greene homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Matt Vierling scores.4–0
6Mark Canha singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Carson Kelly scores. Riley Greene to 2nd.2–0
5Akil Baddoo homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
