Tigers at Red Sox
Last play · Garrett Cooper strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
DET 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 3 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -160
Red Sox favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — +32% Red Sox
10Carson Kelly doubles (3) on a fly ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Javier Báez scores.8–4
10Javier Báez singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Mark Canha scores. Andy Ibáñez scores.7–4
10Andy Ibáñez doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Wenceel Pérez scores. Mark Canha to 3rd.5–4
8Rafael Devers homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.4–4
7Mark Canha grounds out, shortstop David Hamilton to first baseman Dominic Smith. Riley Greene scores. Wenceel Pérez to 3rd.4–3
7Wenceel Pérez doubles (6) on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Matt Vierling scores. Riley Greene to 3rd.3–3
6Gio Urshela out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Wenceel Pérez scores.2–3
5Javier Báez grounds out, shortstop David Hamilton to first baseman Dominic Smith.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
