Tigers at Red Sox
Last play · Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
DET 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 3 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Red Sox favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Enmanuel Valdez homers (3) on a line drive to right center field. (inning 2) — +20% Red Sox
9Gio Urshela homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Riley Greene scores.3–6
7Rafael Devers singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Jarren Duran scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd. Rafael Devers to 2nd. Rafael Devers advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Riley Greene.1–6
6Enmanuel Valdez homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Dominic Smith scores.1–5
4Reese McGuire out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene in foul territory. Enmanuel Valdez scores.1–3
3Dominic Smith grounds into a force out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to shortstop Javier Báez. Jarren Duran scores. Wilyer Abreu out at 2nd. Dominic Smith to 1st.1–2
2Enmanuel Valdez homers (3) on a line drive to right center field.1–1
1Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Matt Vierling scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
