Phillies at Red Sox
Last play · Rafael Devers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
PHI 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 4 – 1 BOS
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +135
Red Sox favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Dahl reaches on a missed catch error by first baseman Dominic Smith, assist to second baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Bryce Harper scores. Bryson Stott scores. (inning 4) — -26% Phillies
5Kyle Schwarber homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
4David Dahl reaches on a missed catch error by first baseman Dominic Smith, assist to second baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Bryce Harper scores. Bryson Stott scores.3–1
1Rob Refsnyder out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jarren Duran scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.1–1
1Kyle Schwarber homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














