Phillies at Red Sox
Last play · David Dahl flies out to right fielder Rob Refsnyder.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
PHI 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 4 – 6 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Red Sox favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to second baseman Whit Merrifield. David Hamilton scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Whit Merrifield. (inning 5) — +28% Red Sox
9Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Bryce Harper scores.6–8
7Bryson Stott doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Nick Castellanos scores.5–8
6David Hamilton homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Bobby Dalbec scores.4–8
5Enmanuel Valdez doubles (7) on a fly ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Rob Refsnyder scores. Connor Wong scores. Enmanuel Valdez out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Johan Rojas to shortstop Bryson Stott to catcher Rafael Marchán to third baseman Alec Bohm.4–6
5Tyler O'Neill out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder David Dahl. Jarren Duran scores.4–4
5Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to second baseman Whit Merrifield. David Hamilton scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Whit Merrifield.4–3
4Jamie Westbrook out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Rafael Devers scores.4–1
3David Dahl doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Bryson Stott scores. Whit Merrifield to 3rd.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














