Yankees at Red Sox
Last play · Alex Verdugo lines out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
NYY 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 5 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-190 / +155
Red Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · DJ LeMahieu singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Anthony Rizzo scores. (inning 2) — -19% Yankees
8Rafael Devers called out on strikes.4–8
8Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 2nd.4–7
8Umpire reviewed (force play), call on the field was upheld: DJ LeMahieu grounds into a force out, shortstop Ceddanne Rafaela to second baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Anthony Rizzo scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd. Jahmai Jones out at 2nd. DJ LeMahieu to 1st.4–6
7Yankees challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Enmanuel Valdez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Masataka Yoshida scores.3–6
7Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Juan Soto homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.3–5
2Rafael Devers doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Rob Refsnyder scores. Tyler O'Neill scores.2–5
2DJ LeMahieu singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Anthony Rizzo scores.2–3
1Jamie Westbrook doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Juan Soto. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong to 3rd.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








