Yankees at Red Sox
Last play · Jose Trevino called out on strikes.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
NYY 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 4 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Enmanuel Valdez scores. Dominic Smith scores. (inning 2) — +25% Red Sox
8Connor Wong singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. David Hamilton scores. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd.3–9
8Red Sox challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Red Sox challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: David Hamilton singles on a fly ball to left fielder Juan Soto. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran out at home on the throw, left fielder Juan Soto to catcher Jose Trevino.3–8
7Connor Wong triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Alex Verdugo. Rob Refsnyder scores. Rafael Devers scores.3–7
7Rafael Devers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Jarren Duran scores. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd.3–5
6Aaron Judge strikes out swinging.3–4
6Jose Trevino homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.2–4
5Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Aaron Judge. David Hamilton scores.1–4
3Rafael Devers grounds into a double play, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Anthony Rizzo. David Hamilton scores. Rob Refsnyder out at 2nd. Rafael Devers out at 1st.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














