Phillies at Red Sox
Last play · Nick Castellanos strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
PHI 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 8 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Red Sox favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Edmundo Sosa scores. Whit Merrifield scores. Johan Rojas scores. (inning 4) — -25% Phillies
6Enmanuel Valdez doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Rafael Devers scores. Enmanuel Valdez out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Johan Rojas to third baseman Whit Merrifield.3–9
4Tyler O'Neill homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Jarren Duran scores. David Hamilton scores.3–8
4David Hamilton singles on a line drive to left fielder David Dahl. Dominic Smith scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.3–5
4Kyle Schwarber doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Edmundo Sosa scores. Whit Merrifield scores. Johan Rojas scores.3–4
2Jarren Duran doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Dominic Smith scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.0–4
2Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Reese McGuire scores.0–2
2Reese McGuire doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Enmanuel Valdez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














