Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TOR 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 9 – 2 BOS
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (14) on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Kevin Kiermaier scores. Bo Bichette scores. Spencer Horwitz to 3rd. (inning 3) — -26% Blue Jays
6Tyler O'Neill homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores.9–4
4Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (15) on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Kevin Kiermaier scores. Spencer Horwitz scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by left fielder Tyler O'Neill.9–2
3George Springer homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.7–2
3Justin Turner grounds out, first baseman Dominic Smith to pitcher Brayan Bello. Spencer Horwitz scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd.5–2
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (14) on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Kevin Kiermaier scores. Bo Bichette scores. Spencer Horwitz to 3rd.4–2
3Kevin Kiermaier singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu, deflected by second baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Danny Jansen scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Kevin Kiermaier to 3rd. Throwing error by right fielder Wilyer Abreu.2–2
2Masataka Yoshida doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Tyler O'Neill scores.0–2
2Rafael Devers homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














