Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Danny Jansen strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TOR 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 0 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Brian Serven scores. Ernie Clement scores. (inning 8) — -21% Blue Jays
8Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jarren Duran homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.4–1
8Addison Barger hits a ground-rule double (2) on a line drive to right field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.4–0
8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Brian Serven scores. Ernie Clement scores.3–0
7George Springer homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
