Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TOR 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -155
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Romy Gonzalez singles on a line drive to left fielder Davis Schneider. Rafael Devers scores. Tyler O'Neill scores. Rob Refsnyder to 3rd. (inning 8) — +45% Red Sox
9Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.6–7
8Romy Gonzalez singles on a line drive to left fielder Davis Schneider. Rafael Devers scores. Tyler O'Neill scores. Rob Refsnyder to 3rd.6–6
8David Hamilton homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Jarren Duran scores.6–4
7Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Spencer Horwitz scores.6–2
7Spencer Horwitz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Kevin Kiermaier scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.3–2
7Kevin Kiermaier singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Addison Barger scores.2–2
4Rafael Devers homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Jarren Duran scores.1–2
4Justin Turner singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














