Padres at Red Sox
Last play · David Hamilton strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
SD 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 9 – 1 BOS
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Red Sox favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Higashioka homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Ha-Seong Kim scores. (inning 5) — -31% Padres
6Rafael Devers homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.9–2
5Jackson Merrill homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Manny Machado scores. Donovan Solano scores.9–1
5Donovan Solano singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.6–1
5Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Bryce Johnson scores. Luis Arraez scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.4–1
5Kyle Higashioka homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Ha-Seong Kim scores.2–1
4Connor Wong singles on a fly ball to right fielder Bryce Johnson. Wilyer Abreu scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














