Padres at Red Sox
Last play · Ha-Seong Kim lines out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
SD 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 4 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Red Sox favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Wilyer Abreu scores. (inning 1) — +17% Red Sox
7Ha-Seong Kim doubles (10) on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jackson Merrill scores.1–4
5Jarren Duran homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.0–4
3Enmanuel Valdez strikes out swinging.0–3
1Rafael Devers homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Wilyer Abreu scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














