Royals at Red Sox
Last play · Dominic Smith grounds out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
KC 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 5 – 1 BOS
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Red Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Salvador Perez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Adam Frazier scores. (inning 1) — -12% Royals
8MJ Melendez homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.6–1
4Bobby Witt Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.5–1
2Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Jamie Westbrook scores.4–1
2Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Adam Frazier scores. Bobby Witt Jr. out at home on the throw, left fielder Jarren Duran to catcher Connor Wong.4–0
2Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Kyle Isbel scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd.3–0
2Adam Frazier singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. MJ Melendez scores. Kyle Isbel to 2nd.2–0
1Salvador Perez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Adam Frazier scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














