Yankees at Red Sox
Last play · Anthony Volpe grounds into a force out, shortstop Ceddanne Rafaela to second baseman David Hamilton. Gleyber Torres out at 2nd.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
NYY 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 4 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Red Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (36) on a fly ball to center field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Juan Soto scores. (inning 7) — -53% Yankees
8Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Connor Wong scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.7–9
8Wilyer Abreu doubles (22) on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Rob Refsnyder scores. Connor Wong to 3rd.7–7
7Ceddanne Rafaela homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Masataka Yoshida scores.7–6
7Austin Wells homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.7–4
7Aaron Judge homers (36) on a fly ball to center field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Juan Soto scores.6–4
5Masataka Yoshida out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Rafael Devers scores.3–4
5Alex Verdugo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Trent Grisham scores.3–3
5Trent Grisham doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Anthony Volpe scores.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














