Last play · Cal Raleigh pops out to third baseman Romy Gonzalez in foul territory.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
SEA 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
SEA 1 – 12 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
+105 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Jarren Duran scores. (inning 3) — +23% Red Sox
8Jason Vosler grounds out, second baseman Jamie Westbrook to first baseman Dominic Smith. Dylan Moore scores.7–14
8Dylan Moore doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Cal Raleigh scores. Leo Rivas scores. Luke Raley to 3rd.5–14
6Romy Gonzalez homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Masataka Yoshida scores.3–14
6Cal Raleigh homers (23) on a fly ball to right field.3–12
6Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Randy Arozarena homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.2–12
5Jarren Duran doubles (33) on a fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.1–12
5Dominic Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.1–11
4Masataka Yoshida singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Jarren Duran scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.1–10
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.