Last play · Tyler O'Neill grounds out, third baseman Josh Rojas to first baseman Justin Turner.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
SEA 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
SEA 7 – 3 BOS
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-115 / -105
Red Sox favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (24) on a fly ball to left field. Wilyer Abreu scores. Masataka Yoshida scores. (inning 3) — +38% Red Sox
7Dominic Smith doubles (16) on a fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Rafael Devers scores. Tyler O'Neill to 3rd.10–6
7Tyler O'Neill singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Masataka Yoshida scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.10–5
7Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Robles. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Masataka Yoshida to 3rd.10–4
6Mitch Garver strikes out swinging.10–3
6Dylan Moore hit by pitch.9–3
6Jorge Polanco doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Victor Robles scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.8–3
5Dylan Moore doubles (18) on a fly ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Victor Robles scores. Randy Arozarena scores. Jorge Polanco scores.7–3
5Justin Turner grounds out to first baseman Dominic Smith. Leo Rivas scores. Victor Robles to 3rd. Randy Arozarena to 2nd.4–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.