Mariners at Red Sox
Last play · Rafael Devers doubles (26) on a fly ball to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Tyler O'Neill scores.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
SEA 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 1 BOS
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Red Sox favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Rojas homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 5) — -16% Mariners
10Rafael Devers doubles (26) on a fly ball to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Tyler O'Neill scores.2–3
6Danny Jansen singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jason Vosler. Dominic Smith scores.2–2
5Josh Rojas homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
4Dylan Moore singles on a line drive to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Cal Raleigh scores. Jorge Polanco to 2nd.1–1
1Rob Refsnyder strikes out swinging.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
