Rangers at Red Sox
Last play · Leody Taveras pops out to third baseman Rafael Devers in foul territory.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TEX 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 6 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rob Refsnyder singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. David Hamilton scores. Masataka Yoshida to 2nd. (inning 5) — +17% Red Sox
8Romy Gonzalez flies into a sacrifice double play, left fielder Wyatt Langford to third baseman Josh Jung to shortstop Corey Seager. Dominic Smith scores. Nick Sogard out at 3rd.4–9
8Nick Sogard singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Connor Wong scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. Dominic Smith to 3rd.4–8
6Nathaniel Lowe walks. Corey Seager scores. Josh Smith to 3rd. Adolis García to 2nd.4–6
6Adolis García walks. Marcus Semien scores. Corey Seager to 3rd. Josh Smith to 2nd.3–6
6Josh Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Leody Taveras scores. Marcus Semien to 3rd. Corey Seager to 2nd.2–6
6Marcus Semien doubles (21) on a fly ball to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Carson Kelly scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd.1–6
5Connor Wong homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Masataka Yoshida scores. Rob Refsnyder scores.0–6
5Rob Refsnyder singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. David Hamilton scores. Masataka Yoshida to 2nd.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
