Astros at Red Sox
Last play · Romy Gonzalez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
HOU 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Red Sox favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez homers (24) on a fly ball to right field. Alex Bregman scores. (inning 6) — -29% Astros
8Wilyer Abreu singles on a line drive to right fielder Chas McCormick. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran scores.5–4
8Zach Dezenzo homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.5–2
7Masataka Yoshida homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.4–2
7Alex Bregman homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
6Yordan Alvarez homers (24) on a fly ball to right field. Alex Bregman scores.3–1
5Danny Jansen homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1Yordan Alvarez homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
