Rangers at Red Sox
Last play · Rob Refsnyder singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Mickey Gasper to 3rd. Masataka Yoshida to 2nd.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TEX 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 3 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Enmanuel Valdez hits a ground-rule double (12) on a fly ball to right-center field. Romy Gonzalez scores. (inning 10) — +43% Red Sox
10Rob Refsnyder singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Mickey Gasper to 3rd. Masataka Yoshida to 2nd.4–5
10Enmanuel Valdez hits a ground-rule double (12) on a fly ball to right-center field. Romy Gonzalez scores.4–4
10Josh Smith grounds out, shortstop David Hamilton to first baseman Connor Wong. Marcus Semien scores.4–3
7Corey Seager homers (26) on a fly ball to right field. Jonah Heim scores.3–3
5Danny Jansen walks. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong to 3rd. Romy Gonzalez to 2nd.1–3
5Romy Gonzalez walks. David Hamilton scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd. Connor Wong to 2nd.1–2
5Marcus Semien singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Leody Taveras scores.1–1
4Nick Sogard out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adolis García. Connor Wong scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
