D-backs at Red Sox
Last play · Danny Jansen grounds into a double play, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to second baseman Luis Guillorme to first baseman Pavin Smith. Mickey Gasper out at 2nd. Danny Jansen out at 1st.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
AZ 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 1 BOS
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Adrian Del Castillo to 2nd. (inning 6) — -15% D-backs
9Jake McCarthy grounds out sharply, second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Triston Casas. Geraldo Perdomo scores.12–2
9Corbin Carroll out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Luis Guillorme scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd.11–2
9Geraldo Perdomo doubles (15) on a ground ball to right fielder Romy Gonzalez. Eugenio Suárez scores. Luis Guillorme to 3rd.10–2
7Eugenio Suárez hits a grand slam (19) to left field. Joc Pederson scores. Josh Bell scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.9–2
6Rob Refsnyder homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.5–2
6Geraldo Perdomo singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ceddanne Rafaela. Eugenio Suárez scores. Luis Guillorme to 3rd.5–1
6Luis Guillorme doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Adrian Del Castillo scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd.4–1
6Eugenio Suárez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Adrian Del Castillo to 2nd.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
