Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Triston Casas.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TOR 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 6 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Triston Casas scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. (inning 1) — +16% Red Sox
9Daulton Varsho homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.3–6
6Will Wagner homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–6
5Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer, deflected by second baseman Will Wagner. Triston Casas scores.1–6
5Triston Casas doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. David Hamilton scores.1–5
5David Hamilton singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer, deflected by second baseman Will Wagner. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.1–4
3Addison Barger out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jarren Duran. George Springer scores.1–3
1Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Triston Casas scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.0–3
1Jarren Duran homers (20) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
