Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Tyler O'Neill grounds out, shortstop Ernie Clement to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TOR 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 0 BOS
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ernie Clement doubles (19) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Addison Barger scores. (inning 6) — -15% Blue Jays
6Ernie Clement doubles (19) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Addison Barger scores.2–0
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (38) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Brian Serven scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
