Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Daulton Varsho lines out to center fielder Jarren Duran.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TOR 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 1 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Hamilton reaches on a fielding error by catcher Alejandro Kirk. (inning 8) — +12% Red Sox
8Tyler O'Neill homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field. David Hamilton scores.0–3
1Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Jarren Duran scores. Triston Casas to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
