Padres at Cubs
Last play · Christopher Morel flies out sharply to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
Win probability
Cubs0%
SD 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 0 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Cubs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. (inning 6) — -29% Padres
7Yan Gomes homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.6–3
6Christopher Morel homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Mike Tauchman scores.6–2
6Luis Campusano doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Xander Bogaerts scores. Donovan Solano scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores.6–0
6Donovan Solano singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jurickson Profar scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.3–0
6Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jake Cronenworth scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








