Brewers at Cubs
Last play · Willy Adames grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. William Contreras out at 2nd.
Win probability
Cubs100%
MIL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 4 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sal Frelick doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Jackson Chourio scores. Throwing error by right fielder Mike Tauchman. (inning 7) — -14% Brewers
9William Contreras singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Blake Perkins scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.5–6
8Patrick Wisdom singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Michael Busch scores.4–6
7Sal Frelick doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Jackson Chourio scores. Throwing error by right fielder Mike Tauchman.4–5
7Blake Perkins homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Oliver Dunn scores.3–5
7Oliver Dunn triples (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Rhys Hoskins scores.1–5
6Patrick Wisdom homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
3Christopher Morel homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Ian Happ scores.0–4
1Michael Busch grounds into a force out, second baseman Brice Turang to shortstop Willy Adames. Mike Tauchman scores. Ian Happ to 3rd. Christopher Morel out at 2nd. Michael Busch to 1st.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








