Brewers at Cubs
Last play · Blake Perkins strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
MIL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Miguel Amaya scores. (inning 5) — +25% Cubs
7Christopher Morel singles on a ground ball to center fielder Blake Perkins. Mike Tauchman scores.0–5
6Dansby Swanson homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.0–4
5Ian Happ walks.0–3
5Nico Hoerner doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Miguel Amaya scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








