Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Christopher Morel singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Cody Bellinger scores. Christopher Morel to 2nd.
Win probability
Cubs100%
PIT 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 0 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Christopher Morel singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Cody Bellinger scores. Christopher Morel to 2nd. (inning 9) — +13% Cubs
9Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Christopher Morel singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Cody Bellinger scores. Christopher Morel to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
