Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Patrick Wisdom flies out to right fielder Jack Suwinski.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PIT 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 1 CHC
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Connor Joe to 3rd. (inning 5) — -27% Pirates
6Christopher Morel out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Connor Joe. Seiya Suzuki scores.3–2
5Nick Gonzales singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Connor Joe to 3rd.3–1
3Seiya Suzuki out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Mike Tauchman scores.1–1
2Jack Suwinski homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
