Padres at Cubs
Last play · Cody Bellinger strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
SD 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 0 CHC
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Cubs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Luis Arraez scores. (inning 1) — -12% Padres
5Jake Cronenworth doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.3–0
5Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Luis Campusano scores. Luis Arraez to 2nd.2–0
1Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Luis Arraez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








