Reds at Cubs
Last play · Cody Bellinger flies out sharply to right fielder Jake Fraley.
Win probability
Cubs0%
CIN 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Cubs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Santiago Espinal homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonathan India scores. (inning 7) — -40% Reds
9Seiya Suzuki doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Jacob Hurtubise. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Nick Madrigal out at home on the throw, left fielder Jacob Hurtubise to shortstop Elly De La Cruz to catcher Tyler Stephenson. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.5–4
9TJ Friedl singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Jacob Hurtubise scores.5–3
7Santiago Espinal homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonathan India scores.4–3
5Ian Happ walks. Yan Gomes scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Christopher Morel to 2nd.2–3
4Nick Martini singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jake Fraley scores. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.2–2
4Tyler Stephenson singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Spencer Steer scores. Jake Fraley to 2nd.1–2
2Ian Happ homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Christopher Morel scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
