Braves at Cubs
Last play · Cody Bellinger flies out to left fielder Adam Duvall.
Win probability
Cubs0%
ATL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 0 CHC
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cubs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adam Duvall homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Harris II scores. (inning 3) — -26% Braves
8Nick Madrigal strikes out swinging. Dansby Swanson scores. Ian Happ to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Max Fried.9–2
8Ronald Acuña Jr. strikes out on a foul tip.9–1
7Matt Olson homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.8–1
7Marcell Ozuna homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Zack Short scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.7–1
7Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Adam Duvall scores.4–1
7Zack Short singles on a bunt ground ball to first baseman Patrick Wisdom. Orlando Arcia scores. Adam Duvall to 2nd.3–1
6Miguel Amaya grounds out, third baseman Zack Short to first baseman Matt Olson. Ian Happ scores.2–1
3Adam Duvall homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Harris II scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
