Braves at Cubs
Last play · Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Cody Bellinger scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.
Win probability
Cubs100%
ATL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 2 CHC
Braves led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 10.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cubs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Orlando Arcia homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Travis d'Arnaud scores. (inning 2) — -25% Braves
10Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Cody Bellinger scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.3–4
6Mike Tauchman singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Michael Busch scores. Miguel Amaya to 2nd.3–3
4Michael Harris II homers (5) on a line drive to left center field.3–2
2Cody Bellinger pops out to third baseman Zack Short in foul territory.2–2
2Mike Tauchman singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Michael Busch scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Miguel Amaya to 2nd.2–1
2Orlando Arcia homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Travis d'Arnaud scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
