Braves at Cubs
Last play · Michael Busch called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cubs0%
ATL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 0 CHC
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Cubs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarred Kelenic homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — -22% Braves
8Marcell Ozuna out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Mike Tauchman. Adam Duvall scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd.3–0
8Ozzie Albies singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Chadwick Tromp scores. Adam Duvall to 3rd.2–0
5Jarred Kelenic homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
