Reds at Cubs
Last play · Seiya Suzuki called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cubs0%
CIN 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 5 – 1 CHC
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cubs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · TJ Friedl homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jacob Hurtubise scores. (inning 2) — -25% Reds
6David Bote grounds into a force out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to second baseman Jonathan India. Patrick Wisdom scores. Dansby Swanson out at 2nd. David Bote to 1st.5–2
5Cody Bellinger singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Nico Hoerner scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.5–1
3Jake Fraley out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Jeimer Candelario scores.5–0
2TJ Friedl homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jacob Hurtubise scores.4–0
2Jonathan India out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Jake Fraley scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
