Reds at Cubs
Last play · Jonathan India strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Cubs100%
CIN 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 5 – 5 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Cubs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Miguel Amaya scores. (inning 2) — +42% Cubs
8Dansby Swanson homers (5) on a line drive to left center field. Nico Hoerner scores.5–7
4Cubs challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Jeimer Candelario singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Stuart Fairchild scores. Elly De La Cruz out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong to third baseman Christopher Morel.5–5
3Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Christopher Morel scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.4–5
2Seiya Suzuki hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Miguel Amaya scores.4–4
2Stuart Fairchild singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Luke Maile scores.4–0
2Luke Maile reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jonathan India scores. TJ Friedl scores. Luke Maile to 2nd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
