Cardinals at Cubs
Last play · Nico Hoerner strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
STL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 0 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Cubs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pedro Pagés homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 8) — -33% Cardinals
9Dylan Carlson singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Iván Herrera scores. Dylan Carlson out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to third baseman Christopher Morel to second baseman Nico Hoerner.3–0
9Iván Herrera doubles (6) on a fly ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki, deflected by second baseman Nico Hoerner. Nolan Arenado scores.2–0
8Pedro Pagés homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














