Giants at Cubs
Last play · Cody Bellinger flies out to left fielder Michael Conforto.
Win probability
Cubs0%
SF 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 0 CHC
Giants led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Cubs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Thairo Estrada homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Jorge Soler scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores. (inning 9) — -78% Giants
9Thairo Estrada homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Jorge Soler scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores.7–6
8Patrick Bailey homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.4–6
7Ian Happ homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Cody Bellinger scores. Seiya Suzuki scores.3–6
7Seiya Suzuki doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Michael Conforto. Patrick Wisdom scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.3–3
7Thairo Estrada hit by pitch. Matt Chapman scores. Michael Conforto to 3rd. Jorge Soler to 2nd.3–2
7Heliot Ramos homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
6Michael Busch homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Nico Hoerner scores.1–2
4Mike Yastrzemski triples (4) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Jorge Soler scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














